MVP X RDO Store Championship

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Water Fractal	Tier 2	3	13.6%	3-5-3	40.9%	50.5%	45.2%	47.6%	1175	↓ low
2		Wind Razorgale	Tier 1	3	13.6%	11-4-1	71.9%	69.9%	57.0%	58.3%	1340	↑ top
3		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 1	3	13.6%	10-3-1	75.0%	56.8%	56.9%	52.4%	1433	↑ top
4		Fire Slimes	Tier 2	2	9.1%	3-4-0	42.9%	43.5%	48.0%	46.0%	1289	—
5		Fire Aetherwing	Tier 2	1	4.5%	2-3-0	40.0%	50.7%	47.5%	50.1%	1212	↓ low
6		Fire Crux Lorraine	Tier 1	1	4.5%	2-1-2	60.0%	54.1%	50.9%	50.8%	1375	↑ top
7		Fire Firebloom Burn	Tier 2	1	4.5%	2-2-0	50.0%	56.2%	46.7%	49.5%	1223	↓ low
8		Fire Oblation	Tier 2	1	4.5%	0-2-0	0.0%	43.0%	40.0%	45.8%	1148	↓ low
9		Fire Umbra Guardian	Tier 2	1	4.5%	0-3-0	0.0%	29.1%	40.0%	39.7%	1163	↓ low
10		Water Aetherwing	Tier 2	1	4.5%	3-2-0	60.0%	46.5%	46.7%	44.9%	1404	↑ top
11		Water Crux Assassin	Tier 2	1	4.5%	1-2-1	37.5%	35.3%	43.8%	41.1%	1466	↑ top
12		Water Tera Kongming	Tier 1	1	4.5%	3-2-0	60.0%	61.6%	52.0%	54.2%	1207	↓ low
13		Water Tera Mage	Tier 2	1	4.5%	2-3-0	40.0%	36.4%	48.0%	45.4%	1280	—
14		Wind Ravishing Mill	Tier 2	1	4.5%	0-4-1	10.0%	31.2%	40.6%	42.7%	1131	↓ low
15		Wind Slimes	Tier 2	1	4.5%	1-3-1	30.0%	47.1%	45.6%	48.8%	1154	↓ low

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Water Fractal 3 decks · 13.6%
• Wind Razorgale 3 decks · 13.6%
• Wind Seiryuu 3 decks · 13.6%
• Fire Slimes 2 decks · 9.1%
• Fire Aetherwing 1 deck · 4.5%
• Fire Crux Lorraine 1 deck · 4.5%
• Fire Firebloom Burn 1 deck · 4.5%
• Fire Oblation 1 deck · 4.5%
• Fire Umbra Guardian 1 deck · 4.5%
• Water Aetherwing 1 deck · 4.5%
• Water Crux Assassin 1 deck · 4.5%
• Water Tera Kongming 1 deck · 4.5%
• Water Tera Mage 1 deck · 4.5%
• Wind Ravishing Mill 1 deck · 4.5%
• Wind Slimes 1 deck · 4.5%