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Wind RazorgaleTier 1

at Steamship Games RDO Store Championship

decks
2 (14.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6 5-1-0
overall winrate
83.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
53.3% avg ELO +1.7 per match
expected value
58.3% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
51.6% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1326 · median 1326 · range 1237–1415 (2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1102 Q1 1210 Q3 1376 1538
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Fire Oblation 14.3% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 52.7% +4.3
Fire Crux Mage 7.1% 0
Fire Umbra Guardian 7.1% 0
Water Genbu 7.1% 0
Water Ravishing Mill 7.1% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 51.1% +1.7
Water Umbra Diana 7.1% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 51.4% +2.2
Wind Chess 7.1% 0
Wind Crux Lorraine 7.1% 0
Wind Neos 7.1% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 49.4% -0.5
Wind Seiryuu 7.1% 0
Wind Slimes 7.1% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 52.1% +3.3
Decklists · 2 from this event

The 2 public Wind Razorgale decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 27 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 27 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Orb of Sealing -1.00 0 1 0
Calming Breeze -1.00 0 1 0
Reclaim +1.00 1 0 0
Aesan Protector +1.00 1 0 0
Return to the Archive +1.00 1 0 0
Viridian Protective Trinket -1.00 0 1 0
Veiling Breeze +1.00 1 0 0
Stifling Trap -1.00 0 1 0
Grand Crusader's Ring -1.00 0 1 0
Cyclical Breeze +1.00 1 0 0
Beseech the Winds -1.00 0 1 0
Combustible Potion -1.00 0 1 0
Obscured Offering -1.00 0 1 0
Backup Charger +1.00 1 0 0
Ensnaring Fumes +1.00 1 0 0
Tend the Land -1.00 0 1 0
Floral Arrangement -1.00 0 1 0
Verdigris Decree +1.00 1 0 0
Spellshield: Wind +1.00 1 0 0
Stifling Gyre +1.00 1 0 0
Soothing Potion -1.00 0 1 0
The Looking Glass +1.00 1 0 0
Break Apart +1.00 1 0 0
Nullifying Mirror +1.00 1 0 0
Zephyr +1.00 1 0 0
Scatter Essence -1.00 0 1 0
Alchemist's Cauldron -1.00 0 1 0

JSON: /api/events/51736/archetypes/Wind Razorgale