← April Month-ender with RDO PRs
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at April Month-ender with RDO PRs.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Water Allies | 1 | 10.0% | 3 | 66.7% | 48.7% | 55.0% | 49.6% | 1356 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Fire Umbra Guardian | 2 | 20.0% | 6 | 66.7% | 52.7% | 54.0% | 51.1% | 1198 | — |
| 3 | Fire Crux Lorraine | 1 | 10.0% | 3 | 66.7% | 51.4% | 53.3% | 50.7% | 1228 | — |
| 4 | Fire Slimes | 1 | 10.0% | 3 | 66.7% | 51.7% | 53.3% | 50.8% | 1175 | — |
| 5 | Wind Astra Cleric | 1 | 10.0% | 3 | 50.0% | 50.5% | 50.0% | 50.2% | 1193 | — |
| 6 | Wind Lorraine | 1 | 10.0% | 3 | 66.7% | 50.2% | 50.0% | 49.5% | 1324 | ↑ top |
| 7 | Wind Luxem Assassin | 1 | 10.0% | 3 | 50.0% | 49.1% | 50.0% | 49.6% | 1229 | — |
| 8 | Fire Suzaku | 1 | 10.0% | 3 | 0.0% | 46.2% | 40.0% | 48.3% | 1175 | — |
| 9 | Slimes | 1 | 10.0% | 3 | 0.0% | 48.2% | 40.0% | 49.0% | 1037 | ↓ low |