← [TCG] Grand Archive Online League NA Weekly 5/7/2026
Fire Umbra CielTier 2
at [TCG] Grand Archive Online League NA Weekly 5/7/2026
decks
1
(2.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
3
0-3-0
overall winrate
0.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
48.3%
avg ELO -1.2 per match
expected value
40.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1175
· median 1175
· range 1175–1175
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1029
Q1 1172
Q3 1353
1563
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Slimes | 11.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.1% | -1.4 |
| Water Aetherwing | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Chess | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Mage | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luxem Mordred | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Suited | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Assassin | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Exia | 2.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.3% | -1.2 |
| Water Genbu | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Whirlpool Mill | 2.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.3% | -1.2 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Mage | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Silvie | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Umbra Ciel decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
