← [TCG] Grand Archive Online League NA Weekly 5/7/2026
Water AetherwingTier 1
at [TCG] Grand Archive Online League NA Weekly 5/7/2026
decks
3
(8.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
12
7-4-1
overall winrate
62.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.6%
avg ELO -0.2 per match
expected value
53.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1339
· median 1372
· range 1269–1376
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1029
Q1 1172
Q3 1353
1563
67% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Slimes | 11.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.1% | -0.9 |
| Wind Razorgale | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 5.6% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 49.8% | -0.2 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.6% | +0.9 |
| Fire Suzaku | 5.6% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 49.3% | -0.6 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Chess | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 2.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.5% | +0.8 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Mage | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ciel | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luxem Mordred | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Suited | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Assassin | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Exia | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Whirlpool Mill | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 2.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.5% | +0.8 |
| Wind Crux Mage | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 2.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.8% | -2.0 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 2.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.8% | +1.3 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Silvie | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
