← TripleTactics TCG Store Championship (RDO)
Fire OblationTier 1
at TripleTactics TCG Store Championship (RDO)
decks
2
(11.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
7
5-2-0
overall winrate
71.4%
ELO-adjusted winrate
67.7%
avg ELO +8.9 per match
expected value
54.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
57.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1359
· median 1359
· range 1312–1405
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
990
Q1 1259
Q3 1399
1525
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 16.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 16.7% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 55.8% | +5.6 |
| Fire Suzaku | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 5.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.7% | +15.5 |
| Water Fractal | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 5.6% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.9% | +3.8 |
| Water Whirlpool Mill | 5.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.8% | +12.5 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 5.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.9% | +15.8 |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
