← TripleTactics TCG Store Championship (RDO)
Water Whirlpool MillTier 2
at TripleTactics TCG Store Championship (RDO)
decks
1
(5.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
3
0-1-2
overall winrate
33.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
43.4%
avg ELO -4.9 per match
expected value
47.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1193
· median 1193
· range 1193–1193
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
990
Q1 1259
Q3 1399
1525
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 16.7% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.5% | -0.8 |
| Wind Razorgale | 16.7% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.1% | -1.5 |
| Fire Oblation | 11.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.2% | -12.5 |
| Fire Suzaku | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Whirlpool Mill decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
