Wind ShadowstrikeTier 1
at AJITO STORE Championship
decks
4
(12.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
18
9-6-3
overall winrate
58.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
53.8%
avg ELO +1.5 per match
expected value
51.1%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
52.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1354
· median 1339
· range 1138–1597
(4 pilots with an ELO rating)
1095
Q1 1214
Q3 1381
1597
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
25% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Seiryuu | 15.6% | 5 | 1-3-1 | 30.0% | 38.9% | 51.2% | +0.7 |
| Water Aetherwing | 12.5% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 57.9% | +5.9 |
| Water Genbu | 6.2% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 50.2% | +0.2 |
| Fire Arcane | 3.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.8% | -14.8 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 3.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.9% | -2.0 |
| Water Astra Ranger | 3.1% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 56.7% | +6.4 |
| Water Crux Assassin | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Exia | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.6% | +4.2 |
| Water Tera Cleric | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.9% | +3.0 |
| Water Tera Diao Chan | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Whirlpool Mill | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.6% | +4.2 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Mage | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Alice | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
