Wind Wakeup ComboTier 2
at Store Championship
decks
2
(15.4% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
7
3-3-1
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
41.4%
avg ELO -4.3 per match
expected value
49.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
46.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1382
· median 1382
· range 1180–1584
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1102
Q1 1198
Q3 1412
1584
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Allies | 15.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 7.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 35.5% | -23.2 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 7.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.1% | +9.7 |
| Fire Suited | 7.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.7% | -8.4 |
| Fire Suzaku | 7.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.9% | +3.0 |
| Fire Umbra Alice | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 7.7% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 52.0% | +1.9 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 7.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.4% | -15.3 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
