第2回キキ杯

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 2	2	18.2%	1-3-0	25.0%	48.9%	45.0%	49.6%	1255	—
2		Fire Aetherwing	Tier 1	1	9.1%	2-2-0	50.0%	49.7%	50.0%	49.9%	1182	↓ low
3		Fire Arcane	Tier 2	1	9.1%	1-2-0	33.3%	49.4%	46.7%	49.7%	1110	↓ low
4		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 1	1	9.1%	3-0-1	87.5%	52.8%	58.0%	51.2%	1327	↑ top
5		Fire Exia	Tier 1	1	9.1%	2-2-0	50.0%	51.1%	50.0%	50.4%	1241	—
6		Fire Oblation	Tier 1	1	9.1%	2-2-0	50.0%	50.3%	50.0%	50.1%	1196	↓ low
7		Water Astra Ranger	Tier 2	1	9.1%	1-3-0	25.0%	48.1%	44.0%	49.1%	1182	↓ low
8		Water Overlord	Tier 2	1	9.1%	0-3-0	0.0%	47.3%	40.0%	48.7%	1149	↓ low
9		Wind Exia	Tier 1	1	9.1%	3-1-0	75.0%	52.0%	56.0%	51.0%	1303	↑ top
10		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 1	1	9.1%	3-0-1	87.5%	50.0%	58.0%	50.0%	1545	↑ top

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Wind Shadowstrike 2 decks · 18.2%
• Fire Aetherwing 1 deck · 9.1%
• Fire Arcane 1 deck · 9.1%
• Fire Crux Mage 1 deck · 9.1%
• Fire Exia 1 deck · 9.1%
• Fire Oblation 1 deck · 9.1%
• Water Astra Ranger 1 deck · 9.1%
• Water Overlord 1 deck · 9.1%
• Wind Exia 1 deck · 9.1%
• Wind Seiryuu 1 deck · 9.1%