← Vincent's Card Colosseum RDO Store Champship
Water Astra DianaTier 2
at Vincent's Card Colosseum RDO Store Champship
decks
1
(8.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
3
0-3-0
overall winrate
0.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
30.8%
avg ELO -14.4 per match
expected value
36.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
37.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1111
· median 1111
· range 1111–1111
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1111
Q1 1192
Q3 1295
1372
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Aetherwing | 25.0% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 36.2% | -13.3 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 16.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.7% | -16.5 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 16.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Lorraine | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Exia | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Astra Diana decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
