EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at GA RDO 拉比店冠賽.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fire Aetherwing | 1 | 9.1% | 6 | 66.7% | 59.7% | 57.1% | 56.4% | 1331 | — |
| 2 | Wind Wakeup Combo | 1 | 9.1% | 6 | 83.3% | 48.5% | 56.7% | 49.5% | 1543 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Wind Arcane | 1 | 9.1% | 4 | 62.5% | 52.6% | 55.0% | 55.4% | 1393 | — |
| 4 | Water Luxem Assassin | 1 | 9.1% | 4 | 62.5% | 67.2% | 55.0% | 59.6% | 1307 | — |
| 5 | Fire Crux Lorraine | 1 | 9.1% | 4 | 50.0% | 59.1% | 53.3% | 55.6% | 1209 | ↓ low |
| 6 | Water Fractal | 3 | 27.3% | 10 | 50.0% | 38.9% | 49.5% | 45.5% | 1404 | ↑ top |
| 7 | Wind Crux Lorraine | 1 | 9.1% | 2 | 0.0% | 44.5% | 40.0% | 46.3% | 1322 | — |
| 8 | Water Aetherwing | 1 | 9.1% | 4 | 25.0% | 49.0% | 40.0% | 47.0% | 1297 | — |
| 9 | Fire Seiryuu | 1 | 9.1% | 4 | 0.0% | 35.6% | 36.0% | 42.0% | 1161 | ↓ low |