← RDO Store Championship Hobby Lords Takapuna

EV ranking

How well each archetype is positioned against the field at RDO Store Championship Hobby Lords Takapuna. EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O), renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5. Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead -- same math, skill-controlled. Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — read them as rough estimates.

#Archetype Decks Share Matches Winrate Adj WR EV Adj EV Avg ELO Skew
1 Wind Razorgale 1 10.0% 4 87.5% 55.9% 57.5% 52.4% 1584 ↑ top
2 Fire Suited 1 10.0% 4 75.0% 71.4% 56.0% 59.0% 1396
3 Fire Luxem Assassin 1 10.0% 4 62.5% 44.0% 54.0% 48.7% 1570 ↑ top
4 Wind Luxem Assassin 1 10.0% 4 62.5% 59.7% 52.5% 55.2% 1209 ↓ low
5 Water Genbu 1 10.0% 4 50.0% 38.8% 52.0% 47.8% 1491 ↑ top
6 Water Allies 2 20.0% 8 43.8% 41.6% 48.1% 46.9% 1335
7 Fire Suzaku 1 10.0% 4 25.0% 51.7% 45.0% 50.7% 1184 ↓ low
8 Water Fractal 1 10.0% 4 25.0% 42.0% 44.0% 45.4% 1275 ↓ low
9 Fire Umbra Alice 1 10.0% 4 25.0% 49.1% 43.3% 49.9% 1102 ↓ low