Fire AggroTier 2
at Store Champs at TFB
decks
1
(6.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
1-3-0
overall winrate
25.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
34.8%
avg ELO -9.7 per match
expected value
44.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
44.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1419
· median 1419
· range 1419–1419
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1032
Q1 1276
Q3 1419
1689
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Genbu | 13.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 13.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.0% | -6.5 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 6.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.8% | -14.8 |
| Water Aetherwing | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Exia | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 6.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.9% | +4.6 |
| Water Whirlpool Mill | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 36.1% | -22.3 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Aggro decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
