Fire SuzakuTier 2
at 美樂地 GA店冠賽 20260509
decks
2
(15.4% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
7
2-5-0
overall winrate
28.6%
ELO-adjusted winrate
47.5%
avg ELO -1.3 per match
expected value
45.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1221
· median 1221
· range 1202–1240
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1202
Q1 1245
Q3 1393
1591
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Arcane | 15.4% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 62.8% | +9.5 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 7.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.1% | -15.9 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 7.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.2% | -4.5 |
| Water Genbu | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Whirlpool Mill | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 7.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.1% | -12.7 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 7.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.3% | -4.4 |
