Water AetherwingTier 1
at 美樂地 GA店冠賽 20260509
decks
1
(7.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
2-1-1
overall winrate
62.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
59.5%
avg ELO +6.1 per match
expected value
54.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
54.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1276
· median 1276
· range 1276–1276
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1202
Q1 1245
Q3 1393
1591
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Suzaku | 15.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 15.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.1% | +14.5 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 7.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.8% | +14.1 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 7.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.3% | -5.9 |
| Fire Slimes | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Whirlpool Mill | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 7.7% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.0% | +1.6 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Aetherwing decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
