Wind RazorgaleTier 2
at Store Championship
decks
2
(16.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
8
3-3-2
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
42.7%
avg ELO -3.5 per match
expected value
46.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
40.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1404
· median 1404
· range 1374–1434
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1198
Q1 1321
Q3 1428
1642
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Aetherwing | 25.0% | 4 | 0-3-1 | 12.5% | 31.2% | 25.4% | -15.8 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 16.7% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 49.9% | -0.1 |
| Fire Crescendo | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 8.3% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 68.3% | +17.6 |
| Fire Suzaku | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
