← 401 Kollectibles Regional

SlimesTier 2

at 401 Kollectibles Regional

decks
6 (21.4% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
19 10-7-2
overall winrate
57.9%
ELO-adjusted winrate
57.1% avg ELO +2.7 per match
expected value
49.0% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
51.0% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1384 · median 1351 · range 1155–1652 (6 pilots with an ELO rating)
1099 Q1 1196 Q3 1464 1652
33% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 17% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Wind Shadowstrike 21.4% 3 1-2-0 33.3% 42.9% 51.4% +1.0
Wind Allies 10.7% 3 0-2-1 16.7% 35.7% 32.3% -13.2
Water Allies 7.1% 4 2-1-1 62.5% 56.2% 59.6% +6.2
Wind Slimes 7.1% 4 3-1-0 75.0% 62.5% 58.1% +5.2
Fire Aggro 3.6% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 59.1% +14.5
Fire Arcane 3.6% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 59.3% +14.9
Fire Erupting 3.6% 0
Fire Luxem Assassin 3.6% 0
Fire Slimes 3.6% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 58.3% +13.3
Fire Umbra Ranger 3.6% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 40.4% -15.4
Water Neos 3.6% 0
Water Ravishing Mill 3.6% 0
Wind Tera Silvie 3.6% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 59.9% +15.9
Decklists · 6 from this event
Mirror Analysis

In 4 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 4 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

Winners more often ran: Slime King, Slime Eruption, Viridian Protective Trinket. Losers more often ran: Safeguard Amulet, Resolute Stand, Engineered Slime.

Played more by winners
Slime King
Winning decks ran 1.8 copies on average, losing decks 1.2.
Of 4 mirrors: the winner ran more in 2, the loser ran more in 1, both ran the same in 1.
Slime Eruption
Winning decks ran 3.0 copies on average, losing decks 2.8.
Of 4 mirrors: the winner ran more in 2, the loser ran more in 1, both ran the same in 1.
Viridian Protective Trinket
Winning decks ran 0.5 copies on average, losing decks 0.2.
Of 4 mirrors: the winner ran more in 2, the loser ran more in 1, both ran the same in 1.
Tariff Ring
Winning decks ran 0.5 copies on average, losing decks 0.2.
Of 4 mirrors: the winner ran more in 2, the loser ran more in 1, both ran the same in 1.
Played more by losers
Safeguard Amulet
Losing decks ran 0.8 copies on average, winning decks 0.0.
Of 4 mirrors: the loser ran more in 3, the winner ran more in 0, both ran the same in 1.
Resolute Stand
Losing decks ran 1.5 copies on average, winning decks 1.0.
Of 4 mirrors: the loser ran more in 2, the winner ran more in 1, both ran the same in 1.
Engineered Slime
Losing decks ran 1.5 copies on average, winning decks 1.0.
Of 4 mirrors: the loser ran more in 2, the winner ran more in 1, both ran the same in 1.
Hymn of Gaia's Grace
Losing decks ran 2.2 copies on average, winning decks 1.8.
Of 4 mirrors: the loser ran more in 2, the winner ran more in 1, both ran the same in 1.
Bestial Frenzy
Losing decks ran 1.5 copies on average, winning decks 1.0.
Of 4 mirrors: the loser ran more in 2, the winner ran more in 1, both ran the same in 1.
Turbo Charge
Losing decks ran 0.8 copies on average, winning decks 0.5.
Of 4 mirrors: the loser ran more in 2, the winner ran more in 1, both ran the same in 1.
Show all 28 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 17 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Safeguard Amulet -0.75 0 3 0
Tithe Proclamation +0.50 2 0 0
Resolute Stand -0.25 1 2 1
Vampiric Slime -0.25 0 1 3
Engineered Slime -0.25 1 2 1
Slime King +0.25 2 1 1
Backup Charger -0.25 0 1 3
Lustrous Slime -0.25 0 1 3
Baby Blue Slime +0.25 1 0 3
Hymn of Gaia's Grace -0.25 1 2 1
Bestial Frenzy -0.25 1 2 1
Turbo Charge -0.25 1 2 1
Reprogram +0.25 1 0 3
Slime Eruption +0.25 2 1 1
Gaia's Blessing -0.25 0 1 3
Twilight Slime -0.25 1 2 1
Viridian Protective Trinket +0.25 2 1 0
Tariff Ring +0.25 2 1 0
Beastbond Paws +0.25 1 0 0
Green Slime +0.25 1 0 0
Nullifying Lantern +0.25 1 0 0
Red Slime +0.25 1 0 0
Beastbond Ears +0.25 1 0 0
Blissful Calling +0.00 1 1 2
Slimeshield +0.00 1 1 2
Limitless Slime +0.00 1 1 2
Verdant Scepter +0.00 1 1 2
Gaia's Songbird +0.00 1 1 0

JSON: /api/events/5564/archetypes/Slimes