← Gonza Grand Archive Store Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Gonza Grand Archive Store Championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wind Allies | 2 | 25.0% | 7 | 85.7% | 71.3% | 64.0% | 63.4% | 1278 | — |
| 2 | Water Ravishing Mill | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 33.3% | 48.6% | 50.0% | 52.3% | 1290 | — |
| 3 | Slimes | 3 | 37.5% | 10 | 40.0% | 38.8% | 44.8% | 42.9% | 1280 | — |
| 4 | Wind Shadowstrike | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 33.3% | 42.3% | 43.3% | 44.2% | 1300 | — |
| 5 | Fire Crux Merlin | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 33.3% | 48.0% | 42.9% | 48.0% | 1086 | ↓ low |