← The Card Shop PLT MRC Store Championship
Fire AggroTier 2
at The Card Shop PLT MRC Store Championship
decks
2
(8.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
12
6-5-1
overall winrate
54.2%
ELO-adjusted winrate
51.2%
avg ELO +0.5 per match
expected value
49.9%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1270
· median 1270
· range 1251–1290
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1005
Q1 1221
Q3 1391
1571
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 20.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.6% | -1.3 |
| Water Allies | 20.0% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 41.0% | -8.6 |
| Wind Allies | 20.0% | 3 | 2-0-1 | 83.3% | 64.3% | 58.1% | +6.0 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 8.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.8% | +1.8 |
| Fire Arcane | 4.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.7% | +9.1 |
| Fire Lorraine | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 4.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.4% | -12.2 |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 4.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.8% | +7.7 |
