← The Card Shop PLT MRC Store Championship
Water Crux LorraineTier 1
at The Card Shop PLT MRC Store Championship
decks
1
(4.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
8
5-2-1
overall winrate
68.8%
ELO-adjusted winrate
59.4%
avg ELO +4.5 per match
expected value
57.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
55.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1391
· median 1391
· range 1391–1391
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1005
Q1 1221
Q3 1391
1571
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 20.0% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 53.6% | +2.7 |
| Water Allies | 20.0% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 59.5% | +9.1 |
| Wind Allies | 20.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 8.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 8.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.9% | +12.6 |
| Fire Arcane | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Lorraine | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 4.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.4% | -12.1 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 4.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.8% | +9.3 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Crux Lorraine decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
