SlimesTier 2
at Store Championship
Pilot Skill ↓ low
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 10.7% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 36.6% | -12.9 |
| Fire Arcane | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 7.1% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 37.8% | -11.7 |
| Wind Allies | 7.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.8% | +1.7 |
| Wind Neos | 7.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.9% | -0.1 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 7.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.8% | +17.3 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 3.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.2% | -12.5 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 3.6% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.5% | -0.8 |
| Water Allies | 3.6% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 43.9% | -5.9 |
| Water Crux Merlin | 3.6% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 64.6% | +14.0 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 3.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.0% | +17.6 |
| Wind Beast | 3.6% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.9% | -1.8 |
| Wind Crux Mage | 3.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.0% | +14.4 |
| Wind Overlord | 3.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.4% | -17.0 |
| Wind Slimes | 3.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.2% | +14.6 |
| Wind Tera Tamer | 3.6% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.9% | -1.8 |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 3.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.4% | -12.1 |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 5 from this event
The 5 public Slimes decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match (1 draw excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 2 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 2 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blissful Calling | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Turbo Charge | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 |