Wind Crux LorraineTier 1
at Store Championship
decks
3
(10.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
12
6-4-2
overall winrate
58.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
56.8%
avg ELO +2.9 per match
expected value
56.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
55.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1212
· median 1224
· range 1062–1349
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1001
Q1 1130
Q3 1328
1464
33% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
33% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 17.9% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 63.4% | +12.9 |
| Fire Arcane | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 7.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.4% | +13.4 |
| Wind Neos | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 7.1% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 45.0% | -3.7 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 3.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.1% | -7.9 |
| Water Crux Merlin | 3.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.7% | +10.8 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 3.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.0% | +16.0 |
| Wind Beast | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Mage | 3.6% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.0% | -1.6 |
| Wind Overlord | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slimes | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Tamer | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 3.6% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 44.5% | -5.3 |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
