← VGMX Grand Archive Store Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at VGMX Grand Archive Store Championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slimes | 2 | 16.7% | 10 | 70.0% | 49.6% | 57.2% | 49.9% | 1387 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Wind Crux Lorraine | 1 | 8.3% | 5 | 60.0% | 55.7% | 54.3% | 53.8% | 1383 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Wind Allies | 3 | 25.0% | 10 | 60.0% | 64.4% | 51.9% | 55.1% | 1240 | — |
| 4 | Water Ravishing Mill | 1 | 8.3% | 4 | 62.5% | 59.0% | 48.6% | 50.6% | 1286 | — |
| 5 | Fire Crux Hybrid | 1 | 8.3% | 5 | 60.0% | 53.5% | 47.5% | 47.6% | 1432 | ↑ top |
| 6 | Water Diana | 1 | 8.3% | 4 | 12.5% | 31.5% | 44.0% | 44.2% | 1138 | ↓ low |
| 7 | Water Vanitas | 1 | 8.3% | 4 | 25.0% | 40.1% | 43.3% | 44.3% | 1247 | — |
| 8 | Water Astra Cleric | 1 | 8.3% | 4 | 25.0% | 46.5% | 43.3% | 47.2% | 1023 | ↓ low |
| 9 | Fire Arcane | 1 | 8.3% | 4 | 25.0% | 38.1% | 42.9% | 42.7% | 1215 | — |