← Jester Games Store Store Championships
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Jester Games Store Store Championships.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fire Crux Hybrid | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 100.0% | 72.2% | 60.0% | 60.6% | 1268 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Water Ravishing Mill | 1 | 12.5% | 4 | 75.0% | 62.0% | 58.3% | 57.9% | 1207 | — |
| 3 | Fire Aggro | 1 | 12.5% | 2 | 50.0% | 53.0% | 55.0% | 57.0% | 1262 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Slimes | 2 | 25.0% | 4 | 37.5% | 43.0% | 51.0% | 51.6% | 1241 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Wind Allies | 3 | 37.5% | 7 | 21.4% | 30.6% | 41.2% | 40.2% | 1245 | ↑ top |