← Strictly Broken TCG Store Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Strictly Broken TCG Store Championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Water Crux Lorraine | 1 | 25.0% | 5 | 80.0% | 59.7% | 66.7% | 59.7% | 1291 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Wind Shadowstrike | 3 | 75.0% | 5 | 20.0% | 40.3% | 33.3% | 40.3% | 1243 | — |