← Kayfabe - Store Championship - MRC
Water Ravishing MillTier 2
at Kayfabe - Store Championship - MRC
decks
2
(18.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
8
3-5-0
overall winrate
37.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
42.7%
avg ELO -3.5 per match
expected value
47.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1252
· median 1252
· range 1099–1404
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1004
Q1 1162
Q3 1420
1632
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 18.2% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 39.6% | -10.0 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 18.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.4% | +11.8 |
| Fire Arcane | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 9.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.8% | +7.7 |
| Water Umbra Diana | 9.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.0% | -14.4 |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 9.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.5% | +12.0 |
| Wind Slimes | 9.1% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 36.9% | -12.6 |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Water Ravishing Mill decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
