← Kayfabe - Store Championship - MRC
Wind ShadowstrikeTier 2
at Kayfabe - Store Championship - MRC
decks
2
(18.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
8
4-4-0
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
52.5%
avg ELO +1.2 per match
expected value
45.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1305
· median 1305
· range 1296–1315
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1004
Q1 1162
Q3 1420
1632
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 18.2% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 40.3% | -9.4 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 18.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.6% | -11.8 |
| Fire Arcane | 9.1% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 63.1% | +12.5 |
| Water Allies | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Diana | 9.1% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 63.7% | +13.2 |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slimes | 9.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.0% | -11.2 |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Wind Shadowstrike decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
