← Retro Exchange Store Championships 7/14
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Retro Exchange Store Championships 7/14.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wind Slimes | 1 | 7.1% | 4 | 75.0% | 56.4% | 58.3% | 54.6% | 1373 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Wind Allies | 2 | 14.3% | 9 | 77.8% | 64.2% | 55.0% | 53.7% | 1329 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Wind Neos | 2 | 14.3% | 6 | 66.7% | 54.3% | 55.0% | 53.0% | 1288 | — |
| 4 | Water Allies | 1 | 7.1% | 4 | 75.0% | 56.1% | 53.3% | 50.7% | 1338 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Fire Aggro | 1 | 7.1% | 4 | 50.0% | 54.0% | 52.0% | 53.3% | 1231 | — |
| 6 | Fire Arcane | 1 | 7.1% | 4 | 50.0% | 53.8% | 52.0% | 54.1% | 1517 | ↑ top |
| 7 | Fire Beast | 1 | 7.1% | 4 | 50.0% | 54.1% | 46.7% | 49.0% | 1164 | ↓ low |
| 8 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 1 | 7.1% | 5 | 40.0% | 42.0% | 45.7% | 45.5% | 1250 | — |
| 9 | Wind Shadowstrike | 2 | 14.3% | 9 | 33.3% | 42.4% | 44.8% | 46.4% | 1196 | ↓ low |
| 10 | Slimes | 1 | 7.1% | 5 | 20.0% | 34.1% | 44.0% | 44.5% | 1143 | ↓ low |
| 11 | Wind Luxem Assassin | 1 | 7.1% | 4 | 25.0% | 43.3% | 43.3% | 45.7% | 1235 | — |
| 12 | Wind Slice & Dice | 1 | 7.1% | 4 | 25.0% | 43.3% | 43.3% | 45.7% | 1235 | — |