Outpost Ghent Store Championship

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Fire Arcane	Tier 2	2	22.2%	0-4-0	0.0%	29.2%	40.0%	41.7%	1099	↓ low
2		Fire Shadowstrike	Tier 1	1	11.1%	4-1-1	75.0%	65.3%	56.7%	56.3%	1396	↑ top
3		Slimes	Tier 1	1	11.1%	2-2-1	50.0%	49.5%	51.7%	51.1%	1289	↑ top
4		Water Umbra Diana	Tier 1	1	11.1%	1-2-1	37.5%	42.6%	50.0%	49.2%	1170	—
5		Wind Allies	Tier 1	1	11.1%	3-1-1	70.0%	58.8%	55.0%	54.1%	1176	—
6		Wind Crux Lorraine	Tier 1	1	11.1%	2-2-0	50.0%	55.5%	50.0%	52.2%	1189	—
7		Wind Luxem Assassin	Tier 1	1	11.1%	3-2-0	60.0%	46.4%	52.0%	48.7%	1520	↑ top
8		Wind Tera Silvie	Tier 1	1	11.1%	1-2-0	33.3%	48.0%	50.0%	51.9%	1018	↓ low

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Fire Arcane 2 decks · 22.2%
• Fire Shadowstrike 1 deck · 11.1%
• Slimes 1 deck · 11.1%
• Water Umbra Diana 1 deck · 11.1%
• Wind Allies 1 deck · 11.1%
• Wind Crux Lorraine 1 deck · 11.1%
• Wind Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 11.1%
• Wind Tera Silvie 1 deck · 11.1%