Fire Crux MageTier 1
at Ludo Store Championship
decks
2
(14.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
8
5-2-1
overall winrate
68.8%
ELO-adjusted winrate
60.5%
avg ELO +5.0 per match
expected value
55.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
55.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1535
· median 1535
· range 1429–1642
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1207
Q1 1361
Q3 1471
1642
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 21.4% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 59.9% | +7.4 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 14.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Ravishing Mill | 7.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.2% | +5.0 |
| Fire Slimes | 7.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 64.7% | +23.5 |
| Slimes | 7.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.2% | -10.8 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 7.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.1% | +6.6 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 7.1% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.2% | -6.1 |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Fire Crux Mage decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
