Water Ravishing MillTier 2
at Ludo Store Championship
decks
2
(14.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
8
3-4-1
overall winrate
43.8%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.7%
avg ELO -0.1 per match
expected value
45.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1285
· median 1285
· range 1228–1341
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1207
Q1 1361
Q3 1471
1642
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 21.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.3% | -10.7 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 14.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Ravishing Mill | 7.1% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 63.5% | +12.9 |
| Fire Slimes | 7.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.5% | -7.2 |
| Slimes | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 7.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.0% | -11.2 |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 7.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.9% | -0.1 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 7.1% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.5% | +2.4 |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Water Ravishing Mill decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
