Mercurial Heart Store Championships

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Slimes	Tier 2	2	25.0%	0-3-1	12.5%	36.1%	39.2%	41.7%	1414	↑ top
2		Wind Allies	Tier 1	2	25.0%	4-1-0	80.0%	64.7%	58.7%	57.5%	1426	↑ top
3		Fire Arcane	Tier 2	1	12.5%	2-2-1	50.0%	49.3%	48.3%	48.2%	1231	↓ low
4		Fire Crux Hybrid	Tier 2	1	12.5%	0-3-0	0.0%	31.6%	40.0%	41.3%	1355	—
5		Fire Slimes	Tier 1	1	12.5%	0-0-2	50.0%	46.5%	50.0%	47.9%	1630	↑ top
6		Water Crux Mage	Tier 2	1	12.5%	0-1-0	0.0%	42.7%	40.0%	42.7%	1427	↑ top
7		Wind Overlord	Tier 1	1	12.5%	4-0-0	100.0%	71.6%	60.0%	58.5%	1487	↑ top

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Slimes 2 decks · 25.0%
• Wind Allies 2 decks · 25.0%
• Fire Arcane 1 deck · 12.5%
• Fire Crux Hybrid 1 deck · 12.5%
• Fire Slimes 1 deck · 12.5%
• Water Crux Mage 1 deck · 12.5%
• Wind Overlord 1 deck · 12.5%