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Fire AggroTier 2

at Yeti Gaming Webcam Local 7/11

decks
2 (3.9% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
8 5-3-0
overall winrate
62.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
51.3% avg ELO +0.6 per match
expected value
48.9% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.2% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1334 · median 1334 · range 1295–1373 (2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1000 Q1 1208 Q3 1396 1656
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Wind Allies 17.6% 0
Wind Shadowstrike 9.8% 0
Water Allies 7.8% 2 0-2-0 0.0% 33.3% 49.2% -0.8
Water Ravishing Mill 7.8% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 49.3% -1.1
Fire Arcane 5.9% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 51.9% +1.8
Fire Crux Hybrid 5.9% 0
Wind Neos 5.9% 0
Fire Crux Mage 3.9% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 50.5% +0.7
Slimes 3.9% 0
Wind Diana 3.9% 0
Dawn of Ashes 2.0% 0
Fire Astra Cleric 2.0% 0
Fire Crux Merlin 2.0% 0
Fire Slimes 2.0% 0
Water Beast 2.0% 0
Water Crux Lorraine 2.0% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 50.8% +1.3
Water Diana 2.0% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 51.1% +1.8
Water Neos 2.0% 0
Water Neos Tonoris 2.0% 0
Water Tera Silvie 2.0% 0
Wind Crux Lorraine 2.0% 0
Wind Slice & Dice 2.0% 0
Decklists · 2 from this event

The 2 public Fire Aggro decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

JSON: /api/events/7521/archetypes/Fire Aggro