← Store Championship Mercurial Hearts
SlimesTier 2
at Store Championship Mercurial Hearts
decks
3
(37.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
7
2-3-2
overall winrate
42.9%
ELO-adjusted winrate
46.3%
avg ELO -1.8 per match
expected value
48.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1353
· median 1348
· range 1267–1445
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1040
Q1 1196
Q3 1392
1460
33% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Erupting | 25.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.3% | +1.2 |
| Fire Arcane | 12.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.5% | -13.6 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 12.5% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 41.1% | -8.5 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 12.5% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 58.0% | +7.7 |
Decklists · 3 from this event
The 3 public Slimes decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
