Store Championship Mercurial Hearts

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Slimes	Tier 2	3	37.5%	2-3-2	42.9%	46.3%	48.0%	48.6%	1353	↑ top
2		Fire Erupting	Tier 2	2	25.0%	1-3-0	25.0%	38.7%	46.0%	45.9%	1345	↑ top
3		Fire Arcane	Tier 1	1	12.5%	3-0-0	100.0%	67.5%	60.0%	58.4%	1460	↑ top
4		Fire Crux Hybrid	Tier 1	1	12.5%	2-1-1	62.5%	57.0%	55.8%	55.8%	1392	↑ top
5		Wind Crux Lorraine	Tier 2	1	12.5%	0-1-1	25.0%	42.0%	41.7%	42.0%	1408	↑ top

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Slimes 3 decks · 37.5%
• Fire Erupting 2 decks · 25.0%
• Fire Arcane 1 deck · 12.5%
• Fire Crux Hybrid 1 deck · 12.5%
• Wind Crux Lorraine 1 deck · 12.5%