← Grand Archive Store Championship (MRC Season) @ TAB
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Grand Archive Store Championship (MRC Season) @ TAB.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fire Aggro | 1 | 16.7% | 3 | 66.7% | 49.2% | 60.0% | 54.4% | 1587 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Slimes | 1 | 16.7% | 4 | 50.0% | 51.5% | 52.9% | 54.1% | 1178 | ↓ low |
| 3 | Water Allies | 1 | 16.7% | 3 | 66.7% | 61.4% | 48.0% | 50.3% | 1330 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Wind Shadowstrike | 3 | 50.0% | 6 | 33.3% | 41.3% | 45.4% | 46.1% | 1205 | ↓ low |