EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at 大圖書館聯盟 大圖書館聯賽.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Water Astra Cleric | 1 | 12.5% | 3 | 83.3% | 51.2% | 58.3% | 50.9% | 1568 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Slimes | 4 | 50.0% | 4 | 75.0% | 51.0% | 55.6% | 50.4% | 1342 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Fire Crux Hybrid | 1 | 12.5% | 4 | 37.5% | 50.5% | 40.6% | 49.4% | 1229 | — |
| 4 | Fire Erupting | 1 | 12.5% | 1 | 0.0% | 48.8% | 40.0% | 48.8% | 1135 | ↓ low |
| 5 | Water Ravishing Mill | 1 | 12.5% | 2 | 0.0% | 47.6% | 40.0% | 48.8% | 1205 | — |