Manta Mercurial Heart Store Championship

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 2	3	30.0%	2-4-1	35.7%	40.4%	47.2%	47.0%	1289	—
2		Fire Crux Merlin	Tier 2	1	10.0%	1-2-0	33.3%	44.9%	44.0%	45.8%	1301	—
3		Slimes	Tier 2	1	10.0%	1-2-1	37.5%	49.9%	48.3%	51.2%	1207	↓ low
4		Water Allies	Tier 1	1	10.0%	2-0-2	75.0%	62.4%	56.7%	57.1%	1162	↓ low
5		Water Crux Lorraine	Tier 1	1	10.0%	3-0-1	87.5%	70.1%	62.0%	62.1%	1333	—
6		Water Ravishing Mill	Tier 1	1	10.0%	2-1-1	62.5%	49.3%	55.0%	51.6%	1436	↑ top
7		Wind Allies	Tier 2	1	10.0%	1-2-0	33.3%	42.6%	44.0%	43.5%	1132	↓ low
8		Wind Crux Lorraine	Tier 2	1	10.0%	0-1-0	0.0%	38.0%	40.0%	38.0%	1356	↑ top

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Wind Shadowstrike 3 decks · 30.0%
• Fire Crux Merlin 1 deck · 10.0%
• Slimes 1 deck · 10.0%
• Water Allies 1 deck · 10.0%
• Water Crux Lorraine 1 deck · 10.0%
• Water Ravishing Mill 1 deck · 10.0%
• Wind Allies 1 deck · 10.0%
• Wind Crux Lorraine 1 deck · 10.0%