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SlimesTier 1

at Yeti Gaming Webcam Locals 8/22

decks
9 (19.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
24 15-8-1
overall winrate
64.6%
ELO-adjusted winrate
50.9% avg ELO +0.3 per match
expected value
55.1% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.4% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1349 · median 1327 · range 1138–1638 (9 pilots with an ELO rating)
1136 Q1 1237 Q3 1411 1638
22% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 22% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Wind Allies 17.4% 7 6-1-0 85.7% 72.7% 51.8% +0.9
Fire Crux Mage 8.7% 3 0-3-0 0.0% 28.6% 48.1% -1.4
Water Ravishing Mill 8.7% 3 1-2-0 33.3% 42.9% 49.6% -0.3
Wind Shadowstrike 8.7% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 51.0% +1.6
Fire Arcane 6.5% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 51.2% +1.9
Fire Crux Hybrid 4.3% 2 0-1-1 25.0% 41.7% 48.9% -1.0
Fire Erupting 4.3% 0
Fire Luxem Assassin 4.3% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 51.0% +1.5
Water Neos 4.3% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 49.5% -0.9
Fire Astra Cleric 2.2% 0
Fire Crux Lorraine 2.2% 0
Fire Crux Merlin 2.2% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 51.4% +1.3
Water Astra Cleric 2.2% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 51.3% +1.3
Water Luxem Assassin 2.2% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 50.0% +0.0
Wind Crux Lorraine 2.2% 0
Decklists · 9 from this event
Mirror Analysis

In 3 mirror matches (1 draw excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 3 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

Winners more often ran: Beastbond Ears. Losers more often ran: Baby Blue Slime, Reprogram.

Played more by winners
Beastbond Ears
Winning decks ran 0.7 copies on average, losing decks 0.3.
Of 3 mirrors: the winner ran more in 2, the loser ran more in 1, both ran the same in 0.
Played more by losers
Baby Blue Slime
Losing decks ran 2.3 copies on average, winning decks 0.3.
Of 3 mirrors: the loser ran more in 3, the winner ran more in 0, both ran the same in 0.
Reprogram
Losing decks ran 3.3 copies on average, winning decks 2.3.
Of 3 mirrors: the loser ran more in 2, the winner ran more in 1, both ran the same in 0.
Show all 25 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 22 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Baby Blue Slime -1.00 0 3 0
Slime King +0.67 2 0 1
Slimeshield +0.67 2 0 1
Beastbond Boots -0.67 0 2 1
Slime's Blessing +0.67 2 0 1
Nullifying Lantern -0.67 0 2 1
Gaia's Songbird +0.67 2 0 1
Tera Sight +0.67 2 0 0
Escape the Wreckage +0.67 2 0 1
Twilight Slime -0.67 0 2 1
Resolute Stand -0.67 0 2 0
Viridian Protective Trinket +0.33 1 0 0
Backup Charger -0.33 0 1 2
Reprogram -0.33 1 2 0
Beastbond Ears +0.33 2 1 0
Ordinary Bear +0.33 1 0 0
Song of Nurturing +0.33 1 0 0
Fast Cure +0.33 1 0 0
Vampiric Slime -0.33 0 1 0
Slime Totem +0.33 1 0 0
Red Slime -0.33 0 1 0
Blissful Calling +0.00 1 1 1
Lustrous Slime +0.00 1 1 1
Slime Eruption +0.00 1 1 1
Turbo Charge +0.00 1 1 0

JSON: /api/events/9518/archetypes/Slimes