← Store Championship - Mortal Ambition
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Store Championship - Mortal Ambition.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wind Allies | 2 | 12.5% | 13 | 73.1% | 51.3% | 57.4% | 50.7% | 1370 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Fire Aggro | 1 | 6.2% | 6 | 66.7% | 52.9% | 55.7% | 51.5% | 1399 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Water Ravishing Mill | 2 | 12.5% | 10 | 50.0% | 51.2% | 51.1% | 50.7% | 1366 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Wind Shadowstrike | 2 | 12.5% | 6 | 50.0% | 49.7% | 50.4% | 49.9% | 1368 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Slimes | 2 | 12.5% | 8 | 50.0% | 50.8% | 49.4% | 50.2% | 1372 | ↑ top |
| 6 | Wind Razorgale | 2 | 12.5% | 8 | 50.0% | 49.4% | 49.3% | 49.7% | 1398 | ↑ top |
| 7 | Fire Astra Cleric | 1 | 6.2% | 3 | 33.3% | 49.2% | 44.0% | 49.2% | 1356 | ↑ top |
| 8 | Fire Crux Mage | 2 | 12.5% | 6 | 25.0% | 47.0% | 41.4% | 48.4% | 1472 | ↑ top |
| 9 | Fire Tera Kongming | 1 | 6.2% | 2 | 0.0% | 47.3% | 40.0% | 48.5% | 1237 | — |
| 10 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 1 | 6.2% | 2 | 0.0% | 47.4% | 40.0% | 48.4% | 1313 | — |