← SGCCC Mortal Ambition season Store Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at SGCCC Mortal Ambition season Store Championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Water Penguin Mill | 2 | 8.3% | 13 | 80.8% | 63.3% | 61.0% | 56.9% | 1484 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Slimes | 6 | 25.0% | 24 | 60.4% | 53.6% | 55.4% | 52.6% | 1279 | — |
| 3 | Fire Astra Cleric | 1 | 4.2% | 4 | 50.0% | 56.9% | 50.0% | 53.5% | 1319 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Water Ravishing Mill | 1 | 4.2% | 5 | 50.0% | 52.4% | 50.0% | 50.9% | 1377 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Water Allies | 3 | 12.5% | 15 | 53.3% | 44.0% | 49.8% | 46.8% | 1279 | — |
| 6 | Wind Shadowstrike | 2 | 8.3% | 8 | 50.0% | 54.3% | 48.6% | 51.0% | 1344 | ↑ top |
| 7 | Wind Exia | 1 | 4.2% | 4 | 37.5% | 49.3% | 47.7% | 49.4% | 1130 | ↓ low |
| 8 | Wind Razorgale | 3 | 12.5% | 12 | 37.5% | 55.5% | 43.9% | 52.9% | 1137 | ↓ low |
| 9 | Fire Slimes | 1 | 4.2% | 4 | 25.0% | 44.3% | 42.7% | 45.9% | 1100 | ↓ low |
| 10 | Water Tera Mage | 2 | 8.3% | 5 | 0.0% | 22.7% | 40.0% | 40.5% | 1153 | ↓ low |
| 11 | Wind Allies | 2 | 8.3% | 8 | 31.2% | 38.9% | 39.2% | 41.7% | 1121 | ↓ low |