Favonia Hobbies GATCG Store Championships (ALC)

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Fire Arcane	Tier 2	2	16.7%	2-3-4	44.4%	47.5%	47.6%	48.5%	1333	↑ top
2		Water Allies	Tier 1	2	16.7%	4-1-3	68.8%	56.0%	54.6%	52.3%	1365	↑ top
3		Fire Aggro	Tier 2	1	8.3%	1-1-3	50.0%	49.6%	48.9%	48.8%	1423	↑ top
4		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 1	1	8.3%	2-2-0	50.0%	50.5%	50.0%	50.2%	1183	↓ low
5		Fire Erupting	Tier 1	1	8.3%	3-1-0	75.0%	62.5%	53.3%	53.6%	1168	↓ low
6		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 1	1	8.3%	3-1-0	75.0%	63.1%	56.0%	56.7%	1472	↑ top
7		Fire Umbra Ranger	Tier 1	1	8.3%	2-2-0	50.0%	50.3%	50.0%	50.1%	1226	—
8		Water Astra Cleric	Tier 1	1	8.3%	1-0-3	62.5%	54.6%	52.0%	51.5%	1460	↑ top
9		Wind Allies	Tier 2	1	8.3%	0-5-0	0.0%	25.9%	40.0%	41.4%	1089	↓ low
10		Wind Crux Lorraine	Tier 1	1	8.3%	1-1-3	50.0%	51.1%	51.1%	51.6%	1268	—
11		Wind Tera Silvie	Tier 2	1	8.3%	1-3-0	25.0%	40.2%	44.0%	45.6%	1082	↓ low

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Fire Arcane 2 decks · 16.7%
• Water Allies 2 decks · 16.7%
• Fire Aggro 1 deck · 8.3%
• Fire Crux Mage 1 deck · 8.3%
• Fire Erupting 1 deck · 8.3%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 8.3%
• Fire Umbra Ranger 1 deck · 8.3%
• Water Astra Cleric 1 deck · 8.3%
• Wind Allies 1 deck · 8.3%
• Wind Crux Lorraine 1 deck · 8.3%
• Wind Tera Silvie 1 deck · 8.3%