← Favonia Hobbies GATCG Store Championships (ALC)
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Favonia Hobbies GATCG Store Championships (ALC).
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 1 | 8.3% | 4 | 75.0% | 63.1% | 56.0% | 56.7% | 1472 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Water Allies | 2 | 16.7% | 8 | 68.8% | 56.0% | 54.6% | 52.3% | 1365 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Fire Erupting | 1 | 8.3% | 4 | 75.0% | 62.5% | 53.3% | 53.6% | 1168 | ↓ low |
| 4 | Water Astra Cleric | 1 | 8.3% | 4 | 62.5% | 54.6% | 52.0% | 51.5% | 1460 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Wind Crux Lorraine | 1 | 8.3% | 5 | 50.0% | 51.1% | 51.1% | 51.6% | 1268 | — |
| 6 | Fire Crux Mage | 1 | 8.3% | 4 | 50.0% | 50.5% | 50.0% | 50.2% | 1183 | ↓ low |
| 7 | Fire Umbra Ranger | 1 | 8.3% | 4 | 50.0% | 50.3% | 50.0% | 50.1% | 1226 | — |
| 8 | Fire Aggro | 1 | 8.3% | 5 | 50.0% | 49.6% | 48.9% | 48.8% | 1423 | ↑ top |
| 9 | Fire Arcane | 2 | 16.7% | 9 | 44.4% | 47.5% | 47.6% | 48.5% | 1333 | ↑ top |
| 10 | Wind Tera Silvie | 1 | 8.3% | 4 | 25.0% | 40.2% | 44.0% | 45.6% | 1082 | ↓ low |
| 11 | Wind Allies | 1 | 8.3% | 5 | 0.0% | 25.9% | 40.0% | 41.4% | 1089 | ↓ low |