← 11/17 AMB Store Championship TGCShuffle
Fire Crux MageTier 1
at 11/17 AMB Store Championship TGCShuffle
decks
2
(18.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
8
5-2-1
overall winrate
68.8%
ELO-adjusted winrate
57.2%
avg ELO +3.5 per match
expected value
59.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
56.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1367
· median 1367
· range 1270–1463
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1099
Q1 1230
Q3 1421
1545
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Exia | 18.2% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 63.3% | +12.8 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 18.2% | 3 | 2-0-1 | 83.3% | 64.3% | 60.0% | +7.5 |
| Fire Tonoris | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Mage | 9.1% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 32.0% | -17.3 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 9.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.0% | +14.3 |
