← 11/17 AMB Store Championship TGCShuffle
Water Ravishing MillTier 1
at 11/17 AMB Store Championship TGCShuffle
decks
1
(9.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
3-0-1
overall winrate
87.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
66.9%
avg ELO +10.8 per match
expected value
59.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
58.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1264
· median 1264
· range 1264–1264
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1099
Q1 1230
Q3 1421
1545
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 18.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 18.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.1% | +14.6 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 18.2% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 57.1% | +6.9 |
| Fire Tonoris | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Mage | 9.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.3% | +14.8 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Ravishing Mill decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
