← 2024/11/17 GtCG AMB Season Store Championship

Fire AggroTier 2

at 2024/11/17 GtCG AMB Season Store Championship

decks
1 (4.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5 2-2-1
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.5% avg ELO -0.3 per match
expected value
46.4% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.4% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1179 · median 1179 · range 1179–1179 (1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1090 Q1 1179 Q3 1428 1694
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 100% in the bottom. This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Slimes 28.6% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 45.4% -7.3
Fire Crux Mage 9.5% 0
Wind Astra Cleric 9.5% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 55.9% +9.5
Fire Astra Cleric 4.8% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 47.5% -3.9
Fire Luxem Assassin 4.8% 0
Fire Slimes 4.8% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 40.9% -14.6
Fire Umbra Ranger 4.8% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 59.3% +14.9
Water Allies 4.8% 0
Water Astra Cleric 4.8% 0
Water Neos 4.8% 0
Water Ravishing Mill 4.8% 0
Water Tera Mage 4.8% 0
Wind Neos 4.8% 0
Decklists · 1 from this event

The 1 public Fire Aggro decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

JSON: /api/events/13623/archetypes/Fire Aggro