← 2024/11/17 GtCG AMB Season Store Championship
Water Ravishing MillTier 1
at 2024/11/17 GtCG AMB Season Store Championship
decks
1
(4.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
2-2-2
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
52.5%
avg ELO +1.4 per match
expected value
50.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
52.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1319
· median 1319
· range 1319–1319
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1090
Q1 1179
Q3 1428
1694
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 28.6% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 54.3% | +3.2 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 9.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 9.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 4.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.4% | +7.0 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 4.8% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.5% | +4.0 |
| Water Neos | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 4.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.3% | -12.4 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Ravishing Mill decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
