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SlimesTier 1
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Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 9.5% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.2% | +0.1 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 9.5% | 4 | 3-1-0 | 75.0% | 62.5% | 59.8% | +6.3 |
| Fire Aggro | 4.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.6% | +7.3 |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 4.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.1% | +9.8 |
| Fire Slimes | 4.8% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 55.5% | +5.3 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 4.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.8% | +9.3 |
| Water Allies | 4.8% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 46.1% | -3.8 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 4.8% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 55.3% | +5.1 |
| Water Neos | 4.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.7% | +18.7 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 4.8% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 45.7% | -3.2 |
| Water Tera Mage | 4.8% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 52.8% | +2.7 |
| Wind Neos | 4.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.1% | -12.6 |
Decklists · 6 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 6 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 6 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
Winners more often ran: Bestial Frenzy, Orb of Sealing, Mechanical Hare. Losers more often ran: Lustrous Slime, Beastbond Ears, Blanche, Sheltering Saint.
Show all 36 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 16 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lustrous Slime | -0.67 | 0 | 4 | 2 | |
| Bestial Frenzy | +0.67 | 4 | 0 | 1 | |
| Beastbond Ears | -0.67 | 0 | 4 | 2 | |
| Orb of Sealing | +0.50 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| Mechanical Hare | +0.50 | 3 | 0 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | -0.33 | 1 | 3 | 0 | |
| Scavenging Raccoon | -0.33 | 1 | 3 | 1 | |
| Gaia's Songbird | +0.33 | 3 | 1 | 2 | |
| Reprogram | -0.33 | 1 | 3 | 0 | |
| Escape the Wreckage | +0.33 | 3 | 1 | 2 | |
| Engineered Slime | -0.33 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Green Slime | -0.33 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Baby Blue Slime | -0.33 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Verdant Slime | -0.33 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Resolute Stand | +0.17 | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | +0.17 | 3 | 2 | 1 | |
| Blissful Calling | -0.17 | 2 | 3 | 1 | |
| Slimeshield | -0.17 | 0 | 1 | 5 | |
| Spellshield: Tera | +0.17 | 3 | 2 | 0 | |
| Hymn of Gaia's Grace | -0.17 | 2 | 3 | 0 | |
| Tera Sight | +0.17 | 3 | 2 | 0 | |
| Twilight Slime | -0.17 | 2 | 3 | 1 | |
| Slime King | -0.17 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Turbo Charge | -0.17 | 1 | 2 | 1 | |
| Ordinary Bear | +0.17 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Avatar of Gaia | +0.17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Meadowbloom Dryad | +0.17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | +0.17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Bedivere, Woodland Overseer | +0.17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Red Slime | +0.17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Slime's Blessing | +0.00 | 3 | 3 | 0 | |
| Limitless Slime | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 4 | |
| Slime Eruption | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 4 | |
| Verdant Scepter | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 4 | |
| Heavenly Guide | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Seeking Shot | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |