Water AlliesTier 1
at 貓腳印台中店 AMB店冠賽
decks
2
(8.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
10
5-5-0
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
42.9%
avg ELO -3.2 per match
expected value
52.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1319
· median 1319
· range 1179–1459
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1090
Q1 1212
Q3 1333
1568
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Razorgale | 16.7% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 60.1% | +9.7 |
| Slimes | 12.5% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.5% | -3.3 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 8.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.7% | +7.5 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 8.3% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 33.3% | -16.1 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 8.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.8% | -17.9 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 4.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.0% | +14.4 |
| Water Crux Mage | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 4.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.0% | -16.1 |
